“I’m dreaming of a white Christmas, just like the ones I used to know.”
Growing up in New England, I have many fond memories of snow falling on Christmas Day. Last year was not such an occasion in Massachusetts. Instead of bundling up as I headed to family dinner, temperatures were warm enough for shorts to be worn with no snow in sight. Looking at the computer models, it looks like I, like many Ohioans, won’t be having a white Christmas this year either.
According to the website currentresults.com, the odds of having a white Christmas in a given year for Boston are around 20% which is a bit better than my odds at my new home south of Dayton. Of the three Ohio cities listed on the website (Cleveland, Columbus, and Cincinnati), it should come as no surprise that Cleveland has the best chance of having snow on the ground on December 25th with around a 45% chance. Further south, the odds are 1 in 4 for Columbus and slightly better than 1 in 10 for Cincinnati.
Despite a mainly cold December thus far, it looks like the Buckeye State will be seeing a warming trend by Christmas Day. Parts of Ohio will see a few flurries or snow showers but the best chance will be in Northeastern Ohio where many have snow from the previous lake effect event. A storm system will pass to our north Friday night into Saturday morning and while some snow may mix in at times, especially north, it looks like it will be mainly a rain event. On Christmas Day itself, temperatures will be mild and we have a chance of rain showers as well.
With only nominal chances of snow before Christmas, the only Ohioans who may see a white Christmas are those with snow already on the ground. While most of Southern Ohio is snow free (aside from a few piles of snow and ice here and there), a few hold outs remain. In addition to our far northeastern counties, parts of Northwestern Ohio have a snowpack as well. However, with mild weather in the forecast only a select few will have the pleasure of seeing snow on the ground on December 25th. I have a feeling though that more snow is in store this winter.
If you prefer your December weather to be mild, temperatures are expected to stay above average on Boxing Day before we see temperatures more appropriate for winter as we head towards the end of 2016.