The Storm Prediction Center has highlight much of Oklahoma and Texas for a risk of severe thunderstorms Tuesday. An area of higher concern would be in Northwest Texas and Southwest Oklahoma. That is where the SPC has mentioned the risk of significant severe weather (as shown in the hatched area in the picture above). Many of the convective allowing forecast models are indicating that fairly discrete supercell thunderstorms could develop tomorrow afternoon in this area. They will be running the risk for all severe hazards, including very large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes.
Latest runs of the Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) Models continue to indicate as well much of Oklahoma and Texas for the risk of tornado activity later tomorrow afternoon and night. We will continue to monitor the situation for you. Stay tuned.